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Powell Provides No Respite
T-Notes -0-01 at 132-11+ operating a touch above Thursday's late lows. Fed Chair Powell's lack of overt pushback against recent Tsy market moves, coupled with a lack of commentary on SLR matters, pushed Tsys lower in late NY trade, with softness evident across the curve as 10s proved to be the weak point, cheapening by a little over 8.0bp come the bell. In summary Powell went over a number of well-trodden dovish themes, stressing that the Fed is a long way from achieving its goals and there was "a lot of ground to cover" before it would be appropriate to tighten policy. He also shadowed recent comments from Governor Brainard, flagging that the recent bond market volatility had caught his attention, while noting that the Fed would be concerned if financial conditions tightened or if disorderly market conditions became apparent.
- An interesting development that didn't get much attention (given his usual notoriety) saw Credit Suisse's Zoltan Pozsar express his regret re: his call on the need for the Fed to conduct a new operation twist, as he pointed to self-healing properties in the markets and the current attractiveness of U.S. Tsy FX-hedged yields to offshore investors as potential stabilisers. This came late Wednesday NY time via a BBG podcast.
- Heavy early NY selling was seen in the EDU2/Z2 spread on Thursday, while a 20K block seller showed up in EDZ5.
- There is little of note on Friday's Asia-Pac docket, with regional reaction to Powell's address and commentary surrounding the Two Sessions gathering in China set to come under scrutiny
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.