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POWER: Mid-Day Power Summary: CWE Falls on Energy Complex

POWER

 CWE power curves are pulling back today, weighed on by losses in the wider European energy complex. Nordic front-month futures are stable on the day as a downward revision in Sweden’s and Norway’s hydrobalance is weighed against losses in the German power market and EU natural gas market. 

  • Nordic Base Power OCT 24 unchanged at 22.5 EUR/MWh
  • France Base Power OCT 24 down 2.7% at 62.5 EUR/MWh
  • Germany Base Power OCT 24 down 1.8% at 79.14 EUR/MWh
  • EUA DEC 24 down 0.8% at 65.88 EUR/MT
  • TTF Gas OCT 24 down 1.6% at 35.58 EUR/MWh
  • TTF eases back from gains seen yesterday as Hurricane Francine made landfall in Louisiana avoiding some US LNG terminals while gas supplies to Europe remain steady despite previous concern for Ukraine transit flows.
  • EU ETS Dec24 is trending lower day, with losses in natural gas market and renewed bearish sentiment in EUA funds positioning.
  • The latest EU ETS CAP3 EU auction cleared lower at €65.10/ton CO2e, down from €65.83/ton CO2e in the previous auction.
  • Europe added 6.4GW of Wind in 1H24, with 5.3GW being onshore and the remaining offshore, however, further improvements are needed in the auction design, with grid bottlenecks delaying projects.
  • Italian hydropower reserves last week were broadly stable on the week at 3.23TWh, compared with 3.24TWh the week prior.
  • Italian gas-fired power generation this month is on track to be the highest for any month since July 2022, with daily output in early September rising to the highest since early January.
  • Nordic power price may rise above the Germany market by 2030 if investment in new power generation capacity is not picking up.
  • Romania has launched its first renewable auction under a 15-year CfD scheme to support 1.5GW of onshore wind and solar PV projects, with bids open by mid-Nov. 
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 CWE power curves are pulling back today, weighed on by losses in the wider European energy complex. Nordic front-month futures are stable on the day as a downward revision in Sweden’s and Norway’s hydrobalance is weighed against losses in the German power market and EU natural gas market. 

  • Nordic Base Power OCT 24 unchanged at 22.5 EUR/MWh
  • France Base Power OCT 24 down 2.7% at 62.5 EUR/MWh
  • Germany Base Power OCT 24 down 1.8% at 79.14 EUR/MWh
  • EUA DEC 24 down 0.8% at 65.88 EUR/MT
  • TTF Gas OCT 24 down 1.6% at 35.58 EUR/MWh
  • TTF eases back from gains seen yesterday as Hurricane Francine made landfall in Louisiana avoiding some US LNG terminals while gas supplies to Europe remain steady despite previous concern for Ukraine transit flows.
  • EU ETS Dec24 is trending lower day, with losses in natural gas market and renewed bearish sentiment in EUA funds positioning.
  • The latest EU ETS CAP3 EU auction cleared lower at €65.10/ton CO2e, down from €65.83/ton CO2e in the previous auction.
  • Europe added 6.4GW of Wind in 1H24, with 5.3GW being onshore and the remaining offshore, however, further improvements are needed in the auction design, with grid bottlenecks delaying projects.
  • Italian hydropower reserves last week were broadly stable on the week at 3.23TWh, compared with 3.24TWh the week prior.
  • Italian gas-fired power generation this month is on track to be the highest for any month since July 2022, with daily output in early September rising to the highest since early January.
  • Nordic power price may rise above the Germany market by 2030 if investment in new power generation capacity is not picking up.
  • Romania has launched its first renewable auction under a 15-year CfD scheme to support 1.5GW of onshore wind and solar PV projects, with bids open by mid-Nov.