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POWER: Nordic Oct Flips Green

POWER

The Nordic October contract has flipped into green territory, after trading slightly down at around 07:20 BST, amid works at 1.17GW Forsmark 3 unit being extended by 10 days to 28 Oct, with price increases in neighbouring EU power markets lending some support.

  • Nordic Base Power OCT 24 up 3.3% at 22 EUR/MWh
  • Germany Base Power OCT 24 up 2.6% at 73.81 EUR/MWh
  • EUA DEC 24 up 0.4% at 63.05 EUR/MT
  • TTF Gas OCT 24 up 2.8% at 34.02 EUR/MWh
  • Vattenfall has extended works at its 1.17GW Forsmark nuclear unit 3 to 28 October from 18 October due to “additional work,” latest Remit data show.
  • However, Finland’s 890MW OL2 is still expected back on 6 Oct, with the 507MW Loviisa returning on 4 Oct.
  • The Norwegian balance is expected to remain firm on the day, with the balance ending at +2.63TWh on 4 Oct compared to +2.47TWh in the previous forecasts.
  • And Sweden’s hydrological balance has been relatively unchanged on the day at +2.05TWh on 4 Oct vs +2.00TWh in the previous forecasts.
  • Closer in, Norwegian wind is expected at just 2-9% load factors over 23-24 Sept – which could raise prices sharply from the weekend coupled with higher demand.
  • Average temperatures in the Nordics are anticipated to be above the norm over the 20-28 Sept, with a downward revision of temps noted over 20-22 Sept. Temps will then flip below over 29-30 Sept. 
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The Nordic October contract has flipped into green territory, after trading slightly down at around 07:20 BST, amid works at 1.17GW Forsmark 3 unit being extended by 10 days to 28 Oct, with price increases in neighbouring EU power markets lending some support.

  • Nordic Base Power OCT 24 up 3.3% at 22 EUR/MWh
  • Germany Base Power OCT 24 up 2.6% at 73.81 EUR/MWh
  • EUA DEC 24 up 0.4% at 63.05 EUR/MT
  • TTF Gas OCT 24 up 2.8% at 34.02 EUR/MWh
  • Vattenfall has extended works at its 1.17GW Forsmark nuclear unit 3 to 28 October from 18 October due to “additional work,” latest Remit data show.
  • However, Finland’s 890MW OL2 is still expected back on 6 Oct, with the 507MW Loviisa returning on 4 Oct.
  • The Norwegian balance is expected to remain firm on the day, with the balance ending at +2.63TWh on 4 Oct compared to +2.47TWh in the previous forecasts.
  • And Sweden’s hydrological balance has been relatively unchanged on the day at +2.05TWh on 4 Oct vs +2.00TWh in the previous forecasts.
  • Closer in, Norwegian wind is expected at just 2-9% load factors over 23-24 Sept – which could raise prices sharply from the weekend coupled with higher demand.
  • Average temperatures in the Nordics are anticipated to be above the norm over the 20-28 Sept, with a downward revision of temps noted over 20-22 Sept. Temps will then flip below over 29-30 Sept.