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PP Retains Narrow Lead Over PM Sanchez' Party Following Gov't Reshuffle

SPAIN

Spain's main opposition centre-right People's Party (PP) recorded its lowest polling support of any survey carried out by outlet Sigma Dos since early May on 19 July.

  • General election poll : PP : 28,8 % (-1,3), PSOE : 25,1 % (+0,6), Vox : 14,1 % (-1,4), Podemos : 10 % (-1,4), Mas Pais : 4,8 % (+0,4), Republican Left of Catalonia : 3,4 % (-0,1), Citizens : 2,8 % (+0,3). Sigma Dos/Antena 3, released 19/07/21
  • Overall, the PP retains its narrow lead over Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez's centre-left Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), the latter of which has not yet seen a significant boost from last week's Cabinet reshuffle.
  • The reshuffle saw the average age of the Cabinet fall from 55 to 50, and the proportion of women rise from 54% to 63% in what has been painted as an attempt to re-energise a gov't halfway through its term and experiencing something of a lull. This follows the poor results for the PSOE and its junior coalition partner, the far-left Unidos Podemos, in the 4 May regional elections in Madrid.
Chart 1. Opinion Polling for Next Spanish General Election, % and 6-Poll Moving Average

Source: Sigma Dos, Data10, NC Report, Invymark, Electopanel, GESOP, Sociometrica, DYM, KeyData, Celeste-Tel, MNI

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