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PPI Inflation Surges To Highest Level Since February 1997

HUNGARY
  • This morning, Hungarian teachers strike for the first time since 2016, stopping work for two hours to protest low wages ahead of general elections in April (BBG).
  • Economic data showed that PPI inflation accelerated to 22.3% in December, its highest level since February 1997, up from 21.6% the previous month.
  • Last week, NBH decided to raise its 1W depo rate by 30bps to 4.3% (as expected).
  • This move followed this week's decision to hike the 'core' policy rate by 50bps to 2.9%.
  • Based on Barnabas Virag press conference, the NBH will now proceed with monthly hikes in the 1W depo rate and is likely to hike by another 30bps in February and March, which would levitate the effective policy rate to 4.9% in Q1.
  • However, the NBH could once again act via the 1-week facility if the HUF remains weak under the current environment.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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