Free Trial

PREVIEW - 40-Year JGB Auction Due

JGBS AUCTION

The Japanese Ministry of Finance (MoF) will today sell Y700bn of 40-Year JGBs. The MoF last sold 40-year debt on 24 July 2024, the auction drew cover of 2.200x at a high yield of 2.420%, a low price of 94.41, with 98.4126% of bids allotted at the high yield.

  • The late July auction of 40-year JGBs encountered a tepid reception, with the actual high yield overshooting dealer expectations. As per the BBG poll, the anticipated yield was projected at 2.385% versus the realised yield of 2.42%.
  • Adding to the lacklustre response, the cover ratio nudged lower to 2.20x from 2.21x observed in the late May auction.
  • Today’s supply follows mixed demand metrics at September’s 20- and 30-year JGB auctions. 20-year supply showed poor demand metrics, with the low price failing to meet dealer expectations and the auction tail lengthening, whereas the 30-year auction met dealer expectations but with a slightly lower tail.
  • The current 40-year auction yield is approximately 5bps lower than in late July, but the 20/40 yield curve is 15bps steeper and near the steepest for the past 12-months.
  • Results are due at 0435 BST / 1235 JST.
190 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.

The Japanese Ministry of Finance (MoF) will today sell Y700bn of 40-Year JGBs. The MoF last sold 40-year debt on 24 July 2024, the auction drew cover of 2.200x at a high yield of 2.420%, a low price of 94.41, with 98.4126% of bids allotted at the high yield.

  • The late July auction of 40-year JGBs encountered a tepid reception, with the actual high yield overshooting dealer expectations. As per the BBG poll, the anticipated yield was projected at 2.385% versus the realised yield of 2.42%.
  • Adding to the lacklustre response, the cover ratio nudged lower to 2.20x from 2.21x observed in the late May auction.
  • Today’s supply follows mixed demand metrics at September’s 20- and 30-year JGB auctions. 20-year supply showed poor demand metrics, with the low price failing to meet dealer expectations and the auction tail lengthening, whereas the 30-year auction met dealer expectations but with a slightly lower tail.
  • The current 40-year auction yield is approximately 5bps lower than in late July, but the 20/40 yield curve is 15bps steeper and near the steepest for the past 12-months.
  • Results are due at 0435 BST / 1235 JST.