Free Trial

/PREVIEW: Multiple dealer opinions on..........>

FOMC
FOMC: /PREVIEW: Multiple dealer opinions on today's FOMC annc, .25bps
universally expected, most with an additional hike in December; particular attn
to forward guidance and addition of 2021 dot in SEP today.
- RBC: Fed is set to hike rates today and again in December with additional four
hikes in 2019. RBC doesn't have an "official forecast" beyond 2019, but can
"easily see the Fed continuing the hiking cycle into 2020 before it (likely)
comes to an end." RBC posits the Fed "expects slightly more than one additional
hike in '20 but our sense is, with several doves seemingly becoming 'centrists'
of late, w/relatively low hurdle to get median up a bit" from 3.4% to 3.6%
possible, allowing Fed to "show rates on hold in 2021 at that level."
- RBS NatWest: Expect Fed to hike while signaling "further gradual rate hikes
ahead (including December). More important is what happens with policy once
rates reach the neutral level. Unfortunately, we expect little clarity with
respect to that question at this time." RBC expects "risks to the economic
outlook to again be characterized as 'roughly balanced'" while the Fed "could
acknowledge the potential impact of Hurricane Florence." 

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.