MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, December 27

MNI BRIEF: BOJ: Rate Hike Chance Nearing; Mull Patiently

MNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY6.2 Bln via OMO Friday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Lower At 7.1893 Fri; -2.12% Y/Y

MNI JAPAN NOV FACTORY OUTPUT DROPS 2.3% M/M; OCT +2.8%

MNI JAPAN NOV JOBLESS RATE AT 2.5%, UNCHANGED FROM OCT

US EIA:NAT GAS STORAGE -93 BCF TO 3,529 BCF DEC 27 WK

MNI: US JOBLESS CLAIMS -1K TO 219K IN DEC 21 WK

MNI: US REDBOOK: DEC STORE SALES +5.0% V YR AGO MO

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

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OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - Bear Cycle In Gilts Remains Intact

OUTLOOK
BundesbankCentral Bank NewsCEEMEAEurozoneGermanyBulletMarketsFixed Income BulletsForeign Exchange Bullets
  • In the FI space, the current bearish cycle in Bund futures remains in play and the contract has traded lower this week. 133.98, 61.8% of the Nov 6 - Dec 2 bull cycle, has been pierced. A clear break of this price point would signal scope for a move towards 133.22, the 76.4% retracement level. First key resistance to watch is 135.11, the 20-day EMA. A move above this level would signal a possible reversal.
  • A strong bearish theme in Gilt futures remains in play and this week’s extension reinforces current conditions. The move down has resulted in a breach of key short-term support at 93.40, the Nov 18 low. The break of this level highlights a stronger reversal. Sights are on 91.73, a 4.236 projection of the Dec 3 - 4 - 5 minor price swing. Initial resistance is at 92.84, the Dec 19 high.
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  • In the FI space, the current bearish cycle in Bund futures remains in play and the contract has traded lower this week. 133.98, 61.8% of the Nov 6 - Dec 2 bull cycle, has been pierced. A clear break of this price point would signal scope for a move towards 133.22, the 76.4% retracement level. First key resistance to watch is 135.11, the 20-day EMA. A move above this level would signal a possible reversal.
  • A strong bearish theme in Gilt futures remains in play and this week’s extension reinforces current conditions. The move down has resulted in a breach of key short-term support at 93.40, the Nov 18 low. The break of this level highlights a stronger reversal. Sights are on 91.73, a 4.236 projection of the Dec 3 - 4 - 5 minor price swing. Initial resistance is at 92.84, the Dec 19 high.