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Price Signal Summary - GBPUSD Recovery Extends

OUTLOOK
  • In FX, the EURUSD traded higher Thursday. For now, short-term gains are considered corrective and the downtrend remains intact. Fresh trend lows this week reinforce bearish conditions. The 1.0653 objective has been breached, 76.4% of the Mar 15 - Apr 26 rally and this opens 1.0551, the Mar 16 low. A firm resistance is seen at 1.0807, the 20-day EMA. Clearance of this average is required to ease recent bearish pressure.
  • The current bull cycle in GBPUSD remains in play and the pair traded higher Thursday. This week’s recovery has resulted in a move above the 20- and 50-day EMAs. The break signals potential for a continuation higher and the focus is on 1.2547, the May 16 high and 1.2592, 76.4% of the May 10 - 25 bear cycle. On the downside, a break of Thursday’s 1.2401 low is required to signal a potential top.
  • USDJPY bullish conditions remain intact and the latest pullback is considered corrective. Recent highs resulted in a test of the top of a bull channel, drawn from the Jan 16 low which intersects at 140.96 and represents a key resistance. A clear break of it would reinforce bullish conditions and open 141.61, the Nov 23 2022 high. For bears, a stronger reversal lower would highlight a potential top. Key support to watch is 138.02, the 20-day EMA.

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