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Price Signal Summary - Gilts Approach A Key Short-Term Resistance

OUTLOOK
  • In the FI space, Bund futures traded lower yesterday before recovering. The contract has breached 130.35, Sep 7 low. This reinforces bearish conditions and extends last week’s move down. Moving average studies remain in a bear mode position, highlighting a primary downtrend. A continuation would expose 129.72, the Aug 15 low and a key support. Short-term gains are considered corrective. Resistance is at 131.14, the 20-day EMA.
  • Gilt futures traded higher yesterday, extending the recovery from 93.36, the Sep 6 low. Key short-term resistance to watch is 95.79, the Sep 1 high. This is also a bull trigger where a break would cancel a recent bearish theme and instead highlight a stronger bullish environment. Clearance of this level would open 96.19, the Jul 31 high (cont). Initial firm support lies at 94.05, the Sep 11 low. A break would be seen as a bearish development.

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