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Price Signal Summary - Gilts Remain Vulnerable

OUTLOOK
  • In the FI space, Bund futures maintain a softer tone and the contract is trading at its recent lows. The move lower Monday undermines a recent bullish theme and signals scope for a deeper retracement. The next support to watch is 130.28 (pierced), 76.4%% retracement of the May 31 - Jun 14 rally. A clear break of this level would further strengthen a bearish threat. Initial firm resistance is at 132.24, the Jun 28 high. Clearance of this level would highlight a potential reversal. First resistance is at 131.69, the 50-day EMA.
  • Gilt futures traded sharply lower Monday, confirming an extension of the latest bear cycle. The contract remains soft and the move down undermines a recent bullish theme. The sell-off signals scope for a continuation near-term towards 96.25, the 76.4% retracement of the May 29 - Jun 21 bull run, where a break would further strengthen a bearish threat. On the upside, initial firm resistance to watch is at 98.24, the Jun 28 high.

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