January 20, 2025 12:11 GMT
OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - S&P E-Minis Bull Cycle Still In Play
OUTLOOK
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- In the FI space, the trend in Bund futures is unchanged, it remains bearish. However, the Jan 15 rally highlights a short-term reversal signal - a bullish engulfing candle. It suggests scope for a continued corrective phase that would allow an oversold trend condition to unwind. A continuation higher would open 132.47, the 20-day EMA. The bear trigger has been defined at 130.28, the Jan 15 low, a break would resume the downtrend.
- The trend condition in Gilt futures is unchanged, the direction remains down. However, strong gains last week highlight the start of a corrective phase and if correct, signals scope for a continuation higher near-term. Attention is resistance at the 20-day EMA, at 91.55. This average has been breached, a clear break would suggest scope for a stronger retracement. On the downside, the bear trigger has been defined at 88.96, the Jan 13 low. First support lies at 90.68, the Jan 16 low.
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