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Price Signal Summary - S&P E-Minis Bear Cycle Remains In Play

OUTLOOK
  • A bear cycle in the E-mini S&P remains in play and the contract traded lower Tuesday, extending the current downleg. Last Thursday’s sell-off resulted in a break of support at 4397.75, the Aug 18 low. This breach reinforced bearish conditions and signals scope for a continuation lower. Sights are on 4300.62, 50.0% of the Mar 13 - Jul 27 bull cycle. Initial firm resistance is 4485.10, the 50-day EMA. Short-term gains would be considered corrective. First resistance is at 4399.00, the Sep 22 high.
  • EUROSTOXX 50 futures maintain a softer tone following last week’s move lower, and this week’s extension reinforces current conditions. Key support at 4210.00, the Sep 8 low, has been breached. The clear break confirms a resumption of the downtrend that started late July and paves the way for a move towards 4109.90, the 1.236 projection of the Aug 10 - 18 - 30 price swing. Key short-term resistance has been defined at 4359.00, the Sep 15 high. A break would be bullish.

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