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Price Signal Summary - S&P E-Minis Have Breached The 50-day EMA

MARKET INSIGHT
  • In the equity space, S&P E-Minis have traded lower today, extending Monday’s bearish start to the week. The contract has breached the 50-day EMA, which intersects at 4454.59 and this reinforces a bearish threat. The move below 4400.00 signals scope for weakness towards 4362.63 next, 4362.63 50.0% retracement of the Feb 24 - Mar 29 rally. EUROSTOXX 50 futures have also traded lower today. Price has recently moved below the 20- and 50-day EMAs and breached support at 3735.00, Mar 18 low. The move lower undermines the recent bull theme and highlights a developing bearish threat. An extension lower would open 3626.50, 50.0% of the Mar 7 - 29 rally.
  • In FX, EURUSD is unchanged and remains vulnerable The recent failure at 1.1185, Mar 31 high, highlights a bearish threat. Attention is on 1.0806, the Mar 7 low and a bear trigger. The GBPUSD outlook remains bearish and support at 1.3000, Mar 15 low, remains exposed. The focus is on 1.2954, 1.764 projection of the Jan 13 - 27 - Feb 10 price swing. Resistance is at 1.3136, the 20day EMA. USDJPY started the week on a firm note and is holding onto its gains. The pair has cleared 125.09, the Mar 28 high. The break confirms a resumption of the primary uptrend. This paves the way for strength towards 125.86 next, the Jun 5 2015 high and a major resistance.
  • On the commodity front, Gold traded higher yesterday and probed initial resistance at $1966.1, Mar 24 high. A clear breach of this hurdle would signal a range breakout and suggest scope for an extension of short-term gains. This would open $1980.3 initially, 50.0% retracement of the Mar 8 - 29 downleg. Support lies at $1913.0, the 50-day EMA. In the Oil space, WTI futures remain bearish. The print below the 50-day EMA suggests scope for a continuation lower. The focus is on the next key support at $92.20, Mar 15 low. Initial firm resistance has been defined at $105.59, the Apr 5 high.
  • In the FI space, Bund futures have traded lower once again today, confirming a resumption of the primary downtrend. The next objective is the 154.00 handle. Gilts continue to trade lower too and recent weakness has confirmed a resumption of the primary downtrend. The focus is on 118.05, 0.618 projection of the Mar 1 - 28 - Apr 4 price swing.

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