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Price Signal Summary - Trend Structure In Gilts Remains Bullish

OUTLOOK
  • In the FI space, Bund futures continue to trade closer to their recent highs. A bull cycle remains in play and the latest pause appears to be a flag - a bullish continuation pattern. Furthermore, recent gains have resulted in a breach of resistance at 132.83, the May 16 high. These factors signal scope for a continuation higher, towards 133.42 next, a 1.764 projection of the May 31 - Jun 5 - 10 price swing. Initial support is 131.70, the 50-day EMA.
  • The trend condition in Gilt futures remains bullish. Recent gains resulted in a break of resistance at 97.86, the Jun 4 high and 98.05, 76.4% of the May 16 - 29 bear cycle. This highlights a resumption of the bull cycle that started May 29. Note too that resistance at 98.89, the May 16 high, has been pierced. A clear break of this hurdle would reinforce bullish conditions. Sights are on 99.25, 1.236 projection of the May 29 - Jun 4 - 10 price swing. Initial firm support is 97.66, 20-day EMA.
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