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Price Signal Summary - USD Uptrend Intact

MARKET INSIGHT
  • In the equity space, S&P E-minis weakened once again Friday and cleared key support at 4293.75, Sep 20 low, before finding support. The break strengthens a bearish case and confirms a resumption of the bear cycle that started Sep 3. This opens 4214.50, Jul 19 low. Gains are considered corrective. EUROSTOXX 50 futures remain weak and Friday registered a print below 3974.00, Sep 20 low - Friday's low was 3961.00. Further downside is likely towards 3951.50, 1.00 projection of the Sep 6 - Sep 20 - Sep 24 price swing.
  • In FX, EURUSD remains in a downtrend. The pair last week cleared key support at 1.1664, Aug 20 low to confirm a resumption of its downtrend. The focus is on 1.1493 next, 50.0% of the Mar '20 - Jan '21 bull phase. GBPUSD remains vulnerable following last week's sell-off. Attention is on 1.3354 next, Dec 23, 2020 low. Gains are considered corrective. USDJPY last week traded through key resistance at 111.66, Jul 2 high and the bull trigger. The clear break strengthens a bull case and opens 112.23, Feb 20, 2020 high. Near-term however, attention is on Thursday's price pattern - a bearish engulfing candle - that highlights the risk of a deeper corrective pullback, potentially towards 110.16, the 50-day EMA.
  • On the commodity front, Gold remains in a downtrend. The focus is on $1690.6, Aug 9 low and the bear trigger. Note though that Thursday's price pattern is a bullish engulfing candle and highlights the potential for a stronger corrective bounce. A climb would open $1787.4, Sep 22 high. WTI futures remain below the Sep 28 high of $76.67. The trend direction remains up and firm support is seen at $73.14, the Sep 30 low.
  • In the FI space, short-term gains are considered corrective. Bund futures remain in a clear downtrend with the focus on 169.46, 1.50 projection of the Sep 9 - 17 - 21 price swing. Resistance is seen at 170.81, Sep 17 and a recent breakout level. Gilt futures remain heavy too. The focus is on 124.64, 1.382 projection of the Aug 31 - Sep 17 - 21 price swing.

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