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Price Signal Summary - USDJPY Bulls Remain In The Driver's Seat

OUTLOOK
  • In FX, EURUSD maintains a short-term bearish tone. Last week’s move lower resulted in the break of a trendline drawn from the Nov 1 low, signalling scope for a continuation of the corrective cycle. Note that price action since Jan 17 appears to be a flag formation - a bearish continuation signal. A resumption of weakness would open 1.0793, 50.0% of the Oct - Dec bull leg. Firm resistance is at 1.0998, Jan 5 high. A break would signal a reversal. Initial resistance is at 1.0932, the 20-day EMA.
  • GBPUSD traded lower last week but has managed to recover from 1.2597, the Jan 17 low. The pair has recently pierced key short-term support at 1.2611, the Jan 2 low and traded through the 50-day EMA, at 1.2624. A clear breach of both support points would highlight a short-term top and signal scope for a deeper retracement, opening 1.2500, the Dec 13 low. Key resistance is 1.2827, the Dec 28 high. A break would resume the uptrend.
  • USDJPY maintains a bullish tone and last week’s gains reinforce current conditions. Resistance at 146.41, the Jan 11 high, has recently been cleared, confirming a resumption of the bull cycle. The move higher opens 149.16 next, 76.4% of the Nov 13 - Dec 28 bull leg. On the downside, a key short-term support has been defined at 144.36, the Jan 12 low. Clearance of this level is required to signal a top. Initial support lies at 147.08, the Jan 17 low.

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