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Price Signal Summary - USDJPY Pullback Considered Corrective

OUTLOOK
  • In FX, EURUSD maintains a softer tone and continues to trade below 1.0694, the Oct 24 high. The move down last week reinforces a bearish theme and suggests that the recent correction between Oct 3 - 24 is over. Note too that the Oct 24 price pattern is a bearish engulfing candle - a reversal signal. A continuation lower would open 1.0496, the Oct 13 low. The key support and bear trigger lies at 1.0448, Oct 3 low. Key short-term resistance is 1.0694.
  • GBPUSD starts the week unchanged and remains below its Oct 24 high. The trend outlook is bearish and gains are considered corrective. Attention is on 1.2037, Oct 4 low and bear trigger. A break of this level would resume the downtrend that started in July and open 1.1964, a 3.00 projection of the Jul 14 - 24 - 27 price swing. For bulls, clearance of 1.2337, Oct 11 high, would signal scope for a stronger corrective cycle and highlight a short-term base.
  • USDJPY has pulled back from last week’s 150.78 trend high on Oct 26. The move lower is considered corrective and the uptrend remains intact. Last week’s breach of 150.16, the Oct 3 high, marks a resumption of the uptrend. Moving average studies are in a bull-mode position and this reflects the market's positive sentiment. Sights are on 151.09 next, a Fibonacci projection point. Initial support to watch is 147.98, the 50-day EMA.

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