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Purchase Mortgage Applications Close In On Cycle Lows

US DATA
  • MBA composite mortgage applications fell 3% last week, equally seen across both refis and purchases after the prior two weeks of relative resilience from refis.
  • It comes as the 30-year conforming mortgage rate ticked up 6bps to 6.93% to remain at the high end of recent ranges vs the cycle high of 7.16% from back in October.
  • The spread to jumbo loans is back into positive territory at +4bps after a recent dip to as low of -16bps in late June in what had been seen as a tightening of lending conditions.
  • The level of purchase applications is now just 6% off February’s lows that otherwise were the lowest since the late 1990s [green line in chart below]

30-y conforming mortgage rate (white), 10Y Tsy yield (pink) and spread (red) with purchase applications level index (green)Source: Bloomberg

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