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Put Skew Reduces on Increased Supply Risks

OIL OPTIONS

The increasing upside supply risks from OPEC and Russia have driven volatility up and moved the Brent and WTI puts skews in from about 5% to 2% during September.

  • Front month ATM implied volatility is up from around 45% at the end of August to over 50%.
  • WTI Dec22 call-put skew is in to -2.1% from a low of -3.7% at the start of the week although had briefly reached parity last week. Brent vols have followed a similar pattern with the Dec22 skew now at -1.8%.
  • The longer term Dec 23 skew has also narrowed with Brent in to -6.9% from as low as -10% at the end of August.
  • Brent DEC 22 up 0.3% at 87.47$/bbl
  • WTI NOV 22 up 0.3% at 81.51$/bbl

Source: MNI / Bloomberg

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