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Q1 GDP Rebounds to Pre-Pandemic Levels.

SOUTH AFRICA
MNI (London)

SOUTH AFRICA Q1 2022 GDP RISES +3.0% Y/Y (FCST +1.9%); Q4 2021 +1.7% Y/Y

SOUTH AFRICA Q1 2022 SA GDP RISES +1.9% Q/Q (FCST +1.2%); Q4 2021 +1.4%r Q/Q

Q4 2021 Q/Q GDP REVISED UP 0.2PP

  • South African GDP advanced 3.0% y/y and 1.9% q/q in Q1 2022, beating forecasts by 1.1pp and 0.7pp respectively.
  • The upbeat print sees GDP back at pre-pandemic levels. Manufacturing was the key driver of growth, expanding 4.9% q/q in Q1 on the back of petroleum and chemical production, food, metals and machinery.
  • MNI noted the likelihood of upside surprises in this data, following BankservAfrica’s Economic Transactions Index implying above the 2% mark, with the surge in metal commodity prices due to the Ukraine war seeing revenues improve.
  • Looking forward, the impact of the floods in KwaZulu-Natal in April which saw significant damage to infrastructure will likely dampen GDP in Q2 2022.

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