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Q2 Retail Sales Confirm Subdued Spending

NEW ZEALAND

Q2 retail sales volumes were weaker than expected falling 1% q/q but since the series has contracted 5 of the last 6 quarters the annual rate improved to -3.4% from -4.3%. Q1 was revised down 0.2pp to -1.6%. Nominal sales fell 0.2% q/q to be up 2.7% y/y. This data shows that spending remained subdued in Q2 which the RBNZ said is needed to “reduce inflation pressure”. It should be reassured at this point that with rates at 5.5% it can achieve this.

  • The weakness was fairly broad based with 11 of the 15 retail industries recording declines with the largest negative contributions from food & beverages and hardware. The strongest sector was motor vehicles & parts which were probably boosted by changes to the Clean Car Discount scheme in July, according to Statistics NZ.
NZ retail sales y/y%

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

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