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Question On Potential Headline Versus Core CPI Divergence

FED
  • Q: If oil prices / headline CPI come down, and core inflation picks up, how do you think about that?
  • A: We'd look at both and ask if we're confident that inflation's on a path down to 2%. Core inflation is a better predictor of inflation going forward; headline tends to be volatile. The public doesn't distinguish between core and headline inflation in their thinking. That's something we have to take into consideration in our policy making, even though our tools don't really work on some aspects of this, which are the supply side issues.

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