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Rand Appreciates Amid Light Local Headline Flow

ZAR

Spot USD/ZAR trades on a slightly softer footing, but has so far struggled to breach recent cyclical lows. The rate last deals at ZAR18.1358, down ~590 pips on the session, with bears looking for a sell-off past the psychological ZAR18.00 figure. On the topside, the focus is on ZAR18.7338, the 20-EMA.

  • The aggregate BBG Commodity Index sits ~0.6% below neutral levels, pausing the earlier two-day sharp rally. The precious metals subindex is ~0.3% weaker on the day, although it has clawed back some of its earlier losses.
  • Local headline flow has been rather limited, with tomorrow's CPI data providing the next key risk event. Headline inflation may have eased to +6.5% Y/Y in May from +6.8% prior, according to a Bloomberg survey.

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