December 17, 2024 09:04 GMT
ZAR: Rand Loses Ground, USD/ZAR Tests 18.0
ZAR
Spot USD/ZAR has crept higher as South Africa returns from a public holiday, with a modicum of dollar strength (BBDXY +0.1%) lending some support to the pair. Otherwise, the local headline flow has been relatively thin, with little in the way of market-relevant headlines. The pair has just pierced the 18.0 figure and last deals at 18.0030, over 1,400 pips higher on the session. The focus is on 18.3951, which capped gains on Nov 14. Bears look for a dip through Nov 7 low of 17.2711.
- SAGB yields have climbed across the curve as local markets re-opened. Key market-based metrics of inflation expectations have ticked higher, with 5-year breakeven rate last seen at 4.25% and with 10-year breakeven rate at 5.27%.
- The composite BBG Commodity Index operates 0.5% below neutral levels, with the precious metals subindex sitting 0.6% lower on the session. Gold trades ~$7.3/oz. worse off.
- South Africa's leading indicator rose to 114.0 in October from the revised 112.8.
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