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Policy
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Global Macro
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI BRIEF: Beijing To Protect Firms From U.S. Bill - MOFCOM
MNI BRIEF: SNB Cuts Policy Rate By 50 BP To 0.5%
MNI EUROPEAN MARKETS ANALYSIS: ECB Expected To Cut Rates Later
Rate-Hike Bets Cool Slightly Ahead Next FOMC Policy Annc
- FOMC is expected to announce a tapering of net purchases of Treasuries by USD10 billion a month and mortgage securities by USD5 billion a month, ending the USD120 billion monthly QE program by mid-2022. Note: decent short end bid from accts paring rate-hike bets (Eurodlr Reds (EDZ2-EDU3) up 0.105-0.110 late)
- Second half of week makes up for lack of data in first half: ADP private employ data early Wed (+400k est) followed by Tsy quarterly refunding at 0830ET. Last but not least: Friday's October employment data: +450k mean estimate.
- Early bid on foreign support: Rates traded firmer with the exception of steady 30Y ultra-bonds on the open, yield curves steeper (5s30s over 80.0 after see-sawing near low 70.0s since Friday). Sources report decent foreign real money buying in 2s-5s overnight vs. light deal-tied selling, Asian real$ buying out the curve.
- Early trade turned two-way in the short end as rates pare modest gains: central bank selling 3s and separately buying 5s. Out the curve: leveraged acct selling 20s while central bank buy 30s. Ultra-bond futures managed gains after trading weaker much of the first half.
- The 2-Yr yield is down 4.7bps at 0.4519%, 5-Yr is down 2.9bps at 1.1476%, 10-Yr is down 1bps at 1.5453%, and 30-Yr is down 0.1bps at 1.9569%.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.