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Free AccessRate Pricing Fades, 200bp In Further Hikes Seen
ECB rate pricing is seen peaking in July 2023 at 2.68%, down 20bp today and 52bp from the Sept 26 peak.
- Futures imply about 200bp in further hikes in this cycle, including 125bp over the final 2 meetings in 2022 (down 9bp today and 23bp from Sept 26th high).
- There hasn't been any particular newsflow to drive today's retracement in ECB mid-2023 pricing - it largely mirrors similar moves across G10 rates - see chart.
Source: BBG, MNI
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.