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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessRBC on NBH and HUF
- RBC bias is for the NBH to deliver a 50bps hike to the base rate and continue to put the emphasis on a longer tightening cycle, though RBC cautions that there is a sizable risk that they may reaccelerate the pace once again to +100bps as EUR/HUF trades above 400.
- On the new economic projections, Deputy Governor Virag stated earlier this month that the 2022 CPI forecasts are likely to be revised higher and sees inflation peaking in Sep-Nov, with the convergence between the two policy rates likely to happen around the peak in inflation.
- On the EU funds, the government has been making attempts (at least verbally) to find compromise on the stalemate with the EU, with Hungary’s deadline to respond to the EC’s letter of concerns by June 27.
- For now, given the EU funds issue is unlikely to be resolved in the near-term, the situation will remain a drag on the currency, but RBC bias is that a compromise may be found later this year and hence analysts view for EUR/HUF to trend lower by year-end.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.