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RBNZ Dated OIS Shunts Firmer After Stronger Than Expected Jobs Data

STIR

RBNZ-dated OIS pricing has firmed by 9-15bps across meetings following today’s stronger-than-expected Q2 Employment Report.

  • The market now prices a 43% chance of a rate cut in August, down from 78% before the data release.
  • Additionally, a cumulative 84bps of easing is anticipated by year-end, compared to 97bps previously.


Figure 1: RBNZ Dated OIS Post-Jobs Versus Pre-Jobs Levels (%)



Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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