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Policy
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Global Macro
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Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI UST Issuance Deep Dive: Dec 2024
MNI US Employment Insight: Soft Enough To Keep Fed Cutting
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Jobs Data Green Lights Rate Cuts
RBNZ Ready To Tighten Lending Restrictions, Jobs Data Take Focus From Here
NZD/USD went offered Tuesday as risk appetite turned sour from the off, with the greenback catching a fresh bid post-WMR fix as U.S. Tsy Sec Yellen said higher interest rates may be needed to prevent the economy from overheating (she played down these remarks later on). NZD/USD pulled back under the $0.7200 mark captured on Monday.
- The RBNZ's latest Financial Stability Report is out. The Reserve Bank warned that "a high proportion of new lending has had high debt-to-income and loan-to-value ratios." The Bank keeps an eye on housing prices and stand ready to tighten LVR restrictions further or deploy additional tools if required.
- Higher earners among NZ public servants must prepare for more austerity measures. Public Service Min Hipkins announced a three-year pay freeze for most of those with an annual salary north of NZ$60,000, as the gov't tries to keep a lid on public debt.
- Worth mentioning that Fonterra's shares are in a trading halt until Friday, as the co-operative seeks shareholders' opinions on a potential change of its capital structure.
- New Zealand's Q1 labour market report headlines the local data docket today, with the unemployment rate expected to remain unch. at 4.9% (per BBG consensus forecast).
- Later in the day, RBNZ Gov Bascand & colleagues will provide some comments on the FSR. Gov Orr is on sick leave and won't be present.
- Thursday will see the release of building permits data & flash ANZ Business Confidence, with inflation expectations coming up Friday.
- NZD/USD sits at $0.7150, a touch higher on the day. A break above May 3 high of $0.7212 would shift focus to Apr 29 high of $0.7287. Conversely, a fall through Tuesday's low of $0.7116 would open up the $0.7100 mark.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.