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Real Earnings & Spending Data Disappoint

JAPAN DATA

Japan Apr cash earnings and household spending figures have printed weaker than expected. Nominal cash earnings were +1.0% y/y, versus +1.8% expected, although Mar was revised higher to 1.3% (originally reported as 0.8%). Real earnings showed a slightly bigger miss, -3.0% y/y, versus -2.0% forecast, although again we had a positive revision (-2.3%, versus -2.9%). Household spending fell -4.4%y/y in Apr, versus a -2.4% forecast.

  • The chart below overlays real labor cash earnings in y/y terms, versus household spending y/y. Neither of the trends look favorable, and at the margin will weigh on expectations for any near-term BoJ policy shift.
  • Note that real spending was down -1.3% in m/m terms. Real wages are weaker for the 13th straight month.

Fig 1: Japan Real Wages & Spending Trends Weaken In April

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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