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Real Excess Wealth No Longer Positive - SF Fed Economists

US OUTLOOK/OPINION

SF Fed economists take a broader look beyond excess household savings and instead look at excess household wealth (full here).

  • “The most recent data as of the third quarter of 2023 show that real excess wealth, including excess liquid assets, is no longer positive.”
  • They see two takeaways on the risks going forward:
  • “the overall level of real household wealth remains above levels observed just before the onset of the pandemic, which could signal continued strength in spending out of wealth going forward. Gains in equity markets since late 2023 may reinforce this strength.”
  • “On the other hand, liquid assets, which more readily fund spending, have been diminishing and are approaching levels significantly lower than the projected pre-pandemic path. As these excess liquid funds run out, consumers may decide to pull back on spending.”

Source: San Francisco Fed

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