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Real Yield Daily Decline Fails To Boost Equities As Tesla, Apple Weigh

US
  • Real yields continue to rise off early session lows but at circa 1.48% currently are still 9bp lower than Friday’s close (driving the 10bp rally in nominal yields).
  • In a break of trend from recent months (real yield and ESA charted in bottom panel below), this hasn’t stopped dollar strength and equity weakness, although the latter is admittedly led by some idiosyncratic drivers from Tesla (-10%) and less so Apple (-3%).
  • Ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC minutes, 10Y real yields are back at levels after surprisingly strong GDP revisions and renewed jobless claims resilience on Dec 22.



US 10y nominal (white), breakeven (yellow), real yield (green) and ESA (pink)Source: Bloomberg

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