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Rebound In Mortgage Rate Stalls Application Recovery

US DATA
  • MBA mortgage applications fell -7.7% last week (refis -13%, purchases -6%) as the 30Y conforming mortgage rate pushed 21bps higher to 6.39% with a stalling in the narrowing of the spread to 10Y Treasury yields at circa 265bps.
  • It further takes the wind out of a tentative recovery in applications, with purchase applications now just 13% higher than late last year’s low.


MBA 30Y mortgage rate (white), spread to 10YY (red) and level of purchase applications (green)Source: Bloomberg

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