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Recent Cheapening Sees Back Little Changed With FOMC Eyed

US TSYS
  • Cash Tsys have seen some cheapening pressure as the US comes in, taking to lows for the day seen just after the open before a bid developed through Asia hours despite a lack of drivers.
  • Benchmark tenors remain off yesterday’s lows but the recent move is reminiscent of Tuesday's sell-off having more than reversed the CPI-induced rally with no single headline driver but potentially helped by China cutting short-term rates and hopes of further stimulus, decent increases in near-term bill issuance and front end Gilts slumping.
  • 2YY +0.5bp at 4.671%, 5YY +0.5bp at 3.996%, 10YY +0.4bp at 3.817%, 30YY +0.9bp at 3.929%.
  • TYU3 trades 4+ ticks higher at 112-26 off joint day lows of 112-24. Having cleared key support at 112-29+ yesterday, initial support is seen at those lows of 112-20+ which stopped short of 112-16 (Fibo retracement of Mar 2 – May 4 rally).
  • Fed: FOMC announcement (1400ET), Chair Powell press conference (1430ET)
  • Data: PPI lands at 0830ET with the usual implications for core PCE due Jun 30, plus weekly MBA data (1200ET)
  • Bill issuance: US Tsy $46B 17W bill auction (1130ET)

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