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Economists Survey Raises 2021 CPI Forecast To 4.9%

--Industrial Production, Investment Slow From October, Retail Sales Edge Up
     Data released Thursday by the National Bureau of Statistics:
                 Industrial Output  Retail Sales  Fixed-asset Investment
------------------------------------------------------------------------
November                       6.1          10.2                     7.2
Forecast Median                6.1          10.3                     7.2
Previous                       6.2          10.0                     7.3
     All figures year-over-year % changes.
     --INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT
     China's industrial output rose 6.1% year-on-year in November, lower than
the 6.2% year-on-year increase in October. The November result matched the MNI
survey median forecast for a 6.1% rise.
     Output rose 0.48% month-on-month in November, slightly slower than the gain
of 0.50% m/m in October.
     --RETAIL SALES
     Retail sales rose 10.2% year-on-year in November, lower than the MNI survey
median forecast for a 10.3% gain but stronger than the 10.0% growth rate in
October.
     On a month-over-month basis, retail sales rose 0.83% in November, up from
the gain of 0.77% in October.
     November retail sales had been expected to accelerate in November due to
the impact of Single's Day on Nov. 11, the largest ecommerce sales day of the
year. 
     --FIXED-ASSET INVESTMENT
     Fixed-asset investment rose 7.2% year-over-year in the first 11 months of
2017, slower than the 7.3% gain posted in the January-to-October period. The
January-to-November figure matched the MNI survey median forecast for a 7.2%
increase.
     Property investment in the first 11 months rose 7.5% year-on-year, below
the 7.8% gain in the first ten months and the lowest reading this year.
     --MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email:
marissa.wang@marketnews.com
--MNI BEIJING Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: john.carter@mni-news.com