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Free AccessREPEAT: MNI: China Econ Still Driven By Rising Debt: Advisor
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 08:36 GMT Dec 27/03:36 EST Dec 27
BEIJING (MNI) - China's de-leveraging campaign still faces severe
challenges to implement, as the economy remains driven by the growth of debt, an
economist close to the government said Thursday.
The leverage ratio will continue to rise as long as the government still
rely on increased debt levels to prop up overall GDP growth, said Li Yang,
chairman of the National Institution for Finance & Development(NIFD) on
Wednesday, during the launch of a new book called China's National Balance Sheet
2018 published by NIFD and the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences(CASS)-run
Institute of Economics.
e-leveraging will therefore remain a long-term goal, Li emphasized. The key
to lower leverage in the business sector lies in state-owned enterprises(SOEs)
-- and reducing the leverage ratio of SOEs should focus on disposing of zombie
enterprises, Li said.
--SOCIAL NET WEALTH
According to the book, by 2016, China's social net wealth has reached
CNY437 trillion, among which CNY424 trillion were domestic non-financial assets
and CNY13 trillion were net foreign assets. This was equivalent to 70.7% of the
U.S. wealth level in the same period, ranking China second across the globe.
Different from most developed countries whose governments own limited
amount of social net wealth, China's government held 27% of the wealth, with the
remaining 73% owned by residents. This compared with the U.S. and the UK
governments who have negative net assets, while that of the Japan and Germany
are less than 5%, the book said.
By holding a large amount of net assets, the government has a better stance
in responding to risks. In contrast, this will also reduces the overall
efficiency of the economy. In the long-term, China needs to revitalize the stock
assets and weaken the government's role in direct allocation of resources,
including promoting the reform of SOEs and removing zombie SOEs, according to
the book.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.