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REPEAT: MNI: China Policy Moves Pro-Growth as Economy Sputters
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 11:14 GMT Jul 24/07:14 EST Jul 24
--Top Policymakers Urge Defending 6.5% GDP Growth Target: Source
--Investment, LGFV May See Boost in H2 2018
BEIJING (MNI) - China is taking more aggressive action to stimulate its
economy, currently under threat from a broad domestic credit shrinkage and
slowing investment at a time when a protracted trade spat with the U.S. clouds
the outlook of trade.
The State Council, China's cabinet, drummed up further efforts to ensure
economic growth during its regular meeting late Monday. The top-level meeting,
chaired by Premier Li Keqiang, called for "boosting domestic demand" for the
second time this year, with greater urgency as both investment and industrial
growths slowed at an unexpected pace in the second quarter.
"Given the current complicated situation, it is necessary for the top
leadership to unify all relative parties, particularly the central bank and the
finance ministry, to carry out policies more effectively," a source close to top
policymakers told MNI.
"Pressure within the country is even bigger than the ones coming from
outside, so some previous measures, such as tough financial regulations, must
yield to economic growth first," the source said.
--6.5% TARGET
"All in all, we won't allow growth to fall much from the targeted 6.5%,"
said the source.
The cabinet said Monday that fiscal and financial policies should be
coordinated to serve the real economy and the bigger growth picture.
While Premier Li emphasized that the new direction won't turn into a "major
flood" of credit, it becomes clearer that the deleveraging campaign is not a top
policy priority -- at least for now.
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) led the dovish monetary policy shift with
a series of measures aimed at loosening the grip on liquidity and credit.
--CHINESE QE
On Monday, the central bank unexpectedly injected CNY502 billion into the
system via the medium-term lending facility (MLF), the biggest addition of
credit via MLF on record. The move has been dubbed a Chinese-style quantitative
easing (QE).
"We did not expect this (MLF) to happen because the liquidity in the
interbank market has already been adequate recently," a manager of a
Beijing-based bank told MNI. "Without question, the PBOC has shifted away from
its tight stance," he said.
That record injection was made just days after the PBOC and financial
regulators announced new rules on asset management products, lifting the
crackdown on non-standard products by lenders' shadow banking funding channels,
a vital source of funding for the country's private sector.
Together with the PBOC's pushing lenders to buy low-grade corporate bonds
by window guidance, along with granting expanded credit quotas last week, the
central bank is clearly moving to underpin growth.
--PUBLIC FEUD
In a rare public display of disagreement, leading economists from the PBOC
and Ministry of Finance took to the media to debate who needs to play a more
active role in the campaign to prevent risk build-ups. The PBOC charged that
fiscal policy has been far less "proactive" in the first half, as evidenced in
that fiscal spending increased at a far slower pace than the boom in fiscal
revenue.
Yesterday's State Council seemed to have partly settled the debate, asking
the finance ministry for a "more proactive" fiscal policy. The country will cut
corporate tax on research and development spending by up to CNY65 billon, adding
to the initial target of reducing CNY1.1 trillion of tax and fees for the year.
The leadership also hastened the launch of CNY1.35 trillion in special bonds for
infrastructure investment.
"In the second half, infrastructure investment will rebound and local
government will be allowed to borrow more again; that is good news for the
economy," the first source said.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
To read the full story
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.