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Free AccessREPEAT: MNI DATA ANALYSIS: US December Income +0.4%; PCE +0.4%>
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 13:30 GMT Jan 29/08:30 EST Jan 29
--Core PCE Price Index +0.2%;Y/Y Remains at +1.5%.
By Kevin Kastner, Sara Haire, and Holly Stokes
WASHINGTON (MNI) - Personal income rose 0.4% in December, while
nominal PCE was up 0.4% and the core PCE price index rose 0.2% in the
month and 1.5% year/year, all roughly as expected, data released by the
Bureau of Economic Analysis Monday morning showed.
The core price index's 1.5% year/year rise in December was
unchanged from November. The rate is the strongest since June, but
significantly below the levels in early 2017 and the Fed's 2.0% target.
Analysts had expected personal income to rise only 0.3% in the
month, but a 0.5% jump in wages and salaries and continued strong gains
in interest income supported a larger gain. Nominal PCE and the core
price index both came in as expected.
The saving rate fell to 2.4% in December from 2.5% in November,
hitting its lowest point since 2.3% in September 2005. Some analysts
have suggested that the plunge in the savings rate over the last year,
from a 2017 high of 4.1% in February, has supported consumption.
Consumers, confident about the economy and job prospects, have shifted
their priorities from saving to spending.
Disposable personal income rose 0.3% in the month, while real
disposable income was up 0.2%.
--ENERGY PCE PRICES DROP
The 0.4% gain in current dollar PCE followed a 0.8% spike in
November. Spending on durable goods were up 0.7% in the month, but
nondurable goods spending fell 0.2% on a 1.2% decline in energy prices.
Services spending was up 0.5%.
Real PCE up 0.3% in December after rising 0.5% in November, as the
overall PCE price index rose only 0.1% due to the energy price drop. The
overall price index was up 1.7% year/year, a slowdown from the 1.8%
year/year rate in November.
After inflation adjustment, durable goods PCE was up 0.8% while
nondurable goods PCE were flat, compared with the 0.2% nominal decline.
Real services PCE was up 0.3%
** MNI Washington Bureau: 202-371-2121 **
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.