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Free AccessMNI EUROPEAN MARKETS ANALYSIS: US Yields Tick Up, JGBs Steady
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REPEAT: MNI: Japan Aso: Yen Not Too Strong/Weak;Not Acting Now
TOKYO (MNI) - Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso Thursday said the yen's
recent appreciation is not too steep, and thus that it would not prompt Tokyo to
intervene in the foreign exchange market to stop a rising yen from hurting the
economy.
"It is true that we have done verbal interventions in the past when
something urgent happened," Aso told the Lower House Budget Committee. "But now
the economic fundamentals in both the U.S. and Japan are very good."
"The current situation is that the yen has not sharply appreciated or
depreciated. We are not considering intervening immediately at this point," he
said.
Aso was asked whether the dollar's fall below Y107 would hurt the Japanese
economy by reducing exporter profits.
The dollar was quoted around Y106.60 in Asian morning trading Thursday,
down from above Y112 at the start of the year.
Aso noted that U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin had corrected his
remark after saying that a weaker dollar was good for the U.S. economy in
January.
Japanese policymakers appear to be comfortable if the dollar/yen exchange
rate remains stable in a range from around Y105 to about Y115, or in a wider
Y100 to Y120 range.
A few years after the yen hit a record high of Y75.54 to the dollar in
2011, Japanese ruling party politicians saw a dollar above Y105 as having
corrected the yen's steep rise. But they also feared a level above Y120 would
hurt small businesses and households with higher import costs.
In his parliamentary testimony, Aso made similar forex comments in 2016.
At the time, Aso told the Upper House Audit Committee that Tokyo would
notify Washington of its intention to intervene should forex market volatility
increase sharply.
"The yen appreciated to the Y105 level last week but it is now around
Y107.30. We are not at the stage of doing anything particular," Aso told the
committee on May 9, 2016.
Japanese officials generally do not draw a line in the sand, aware of the
strength of market forces when trading surges in one direction, and of the fact
that ineffective intervention to sell yen for dollars would only provide
speculators with an opportunity to sell dollars again.
However, judging from past record, Tokyo would seek Washington's consent to
step into the foreign exchange market to stop one-sided, rapid dollar selling
for yen that could wipe out exporter profits and undermine a recovery in the
stock market and economic activity overall, in turn denting U.S. exports to
Japan.
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-4670-5309; email: max.sato@marketnews.com
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.