-
Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM POLICY: -
EM Policy
EM Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM EM POLICY: -
G10 Markets
G10 Markets
Real-time insight on key fixed income and fx markets.
Launch MNI PodcastsFixed IncomeFI Markets AnalysisCentral Bank PreviewsFI PiFixed Income Technical AnalysisUS$ Credit Supply PipelineGilt Week AheadGlobal IssuanceEurozoneUKUSDeep DiveGlobal Issuance CalendarsEZ/UK Bond Auction CalendarEZ/UK T-bill Auction CalendarUS Treasury Auction CalendarPolitical RiskMNI Political Risk AnalysisMNI Political Risk - US Daily BriefMNI Political Risk - The week AheadElection Previews -
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets
Real-time insight of emerging markets in CEMEA, Asia and LatAm region
-
Commodities
-
Credit
Credit
Real time insight of credit markets
-
Data
-
Global Macro
Global Macro
Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
Global MacroDM Central Bank PreviewsDM Central Bank ReviewsEM Central Bank PreviewsEM Central Bank ReviewsBalance Sheet AnalysisData AnalysisEurozone DataUK DataUS DataAPAC DataInflation InsightEmployment InsightGlobal IssuanceEurozoneUKUSDeep DiveGlobal Issuance Calendars EZ/UK Bond Auction Calendar EZ/UK T-bill Auction Calendar US Treasury Auction Calendar Global Macro Weekly -
About Us
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Real-time Actionable Insight
Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessREPEAT: MNI: See No Near-Term Benchmark Rate Cut: PBOC Off'l
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 12:00 GMT Mar 7/07:00 EST Mar 7
--China's Finance Ministry Should Replenish Banks' Capital
--Stronger China Economy to Bolster Yuan Confidence
BEIJING (MNI) - China should not rush to cut its benchmark interest rates,
as any move by the central bank will have a major impact and there is time to
take stock of the economy's overall standing, the president of a local branch of
the People's Bank of China told MNI in an exclusive interview.
China's Prime Minister Li Keqiang said out this week that both quantitative
and pricing tools could be used to lower real rates, but that didn't necessarily
mean the central bank would "cut rates in short-term," said Guo Xinming,
president of the PBOC Nanjing branch.
After several reserve ratio reductions since January 2018, monetary policy
measures have hit their expected goals for now, Guo said, stressing that the
PBOC will continue to push for the merging of their market operation rates and
benchmark rates.
Guo didn't believe that a RRR cut or interest rate cuts would weaken the
yuan, saying countercyclical tools will underpin the economy and bolster
confidence.
"The yuan will remain stable for the year," Guo said.
--BOOST BANK CAPITAL
Guo, a member of China's legislative body, noted many of China's banks were
still saddled with low capital adequacy ratios and proposed the Ministry of
Finance, the prime shareholder of state-owned financial institutions, should
pump in more cash to ramp up their capital base. That would help them expand
lending if so directed by policymakers, he added.
This year has seen Bank of China issue perpetual bonds backed by the PBOC
to help boost its capital ratios, which is just a starting point, said Guo,
adding that smaller institutions could be pulled into the system but Guo
suggested some guarantee methods could be taken considering the lower
credit-ranking of smaller firms.
--CREDIT EXPENSION
Aside from cutting benchmark rates or trimming the RRR, Guo said a more
urgent task facing the authorities was recapitalizing commercial banks so they
could boost lending. In his speech Tuesday, Premier Li said large state-owned
banks will be required to increase loans to small businesses by over 30% in 2019
given the tough economic climate.
Guo thought this was an achievable but challenging target for banks, as
declining deposits from cash-strapped households would also weigh on the ability
to lend.
Although state-owned big banks carry some responsibility to boost the
economy in a downturn, the process should be market-oriented and sustainable,
Guo said. He accepted there is a greater risk with SMEs, with his own recent
study showing bank non-performing loans to small companies at 2.75% of total
loans, 1.7 percentage points higher than those to large companies.
This week's government work report requested large banks increase medium-
and long-term loans and credit loans to the manufacturing industry. Guo agreed,
saying short-term loans banks usually provide to SMEs don't match their
long-term operational needs, a partial cause of their high NPL ratio.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.