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Free AccessREPEAT: POV: STRONG AU GDP PRINT WILL DO........>
RBA: REPEAT: POV: STRONG AU GDP PRINT WILL DO LITTLE TO STIR RBA
The stronger than exp. Q1 GDP release will do little to stir the RBA, as
reflected by price action in the Aussie short-end in lieu of the release. The
lack of pressure from markets over pricing a hike will suit an RBA that has
stressed that the next move in its cash rate is likely to be up, although not in
the near term. While the 1.0% Q/Q & 3.1% Y/Y readings were impressive, the
household consumption metric missed & the wage measure remained muted. It is
worth noting that the release is based on a quarter that ended 2 months ago &
that April's retail sales have provided a healthy start to Q2. On Tuesday the
RBA removed its ref. to the reduction of spare capacity in its latest statement
alongside its MonPol decision & noted that "while there may be some further
tightening of lending standards, the avg mortgage interest rate on outstanding
loans is continuing to decline." This perhaps suggests that the RBA believes
that there is no imminent need to act to alleviate borrowers from any pressure
that they may be feeling. The GDP print puts the econ. well on the way to the
RBA's '18 growth forecast (3.25%), but doesn't point to overheating.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.