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REPEAT: US DATA PREVIEW: Analysts expect September...>

US DATA PREVIEW
US DATA PREVIEW: REPEAT: Analysts expect September headline CPI to accelerate to
a healthy 0.6% increase after August's 0.4% rise. CPI core is expected to rise
0.2% for the second straight month. The projected 0.6% headline gain would
translate to a 2.3% rise y/y - the strongest pace since March. This rise is to
be largely driven by the hurricanes' impact on energy, food, and car prices.
Based on a 0.2% monthly gain, core CPI would accelerate to 1.8% y/y, the first
increase since January. However, analysts see some downside risk to core,
especially in communications, airfare, and shelter. Analysts believe a rise in
September CPI report could help show the recent slow pace of inflation was
caused by transitory factors, and keep December rate hike on the table. But if
the rise is buoyed by hurricane effects, it could easily be discounted as
equally transitory.
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