Researchers Forecast Ramaphosa Second Term as ANC President, But Party In Decline past 2024

LOCAL NEWS

• Reports from political research groups show Ramaphosa is likely to serve a second term as ANC president in the December elective conference, and lead a coalition government in 2024 as the party heads into an era of decline.
  • The scenarios also find that the RET faction is less likely to win in the December elective conference. The most likely scenario is a narrow win for Ramaphosa in 2022, and extended period of hesitant reforms that sees the party win 48% in 2024 & 43% in 2029 – Daily Maverick
• https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-03-28...
• FinMin Godongwana says govt must balance expenditure on many competing priorities ahead of wage talks with Unions. Debt servicing (R500bn p/a next year) and Eskom (R416bn in debt) are the two main priorities.
  • He said he wants to restructure how public sector wages (R682.5bn in 2022) are adjusted every year and audit the skills base/productivity to see if the sector is fit for purpose. Also said there is a trust deficit between unions and govt, which will weigh on talks and make them tougher than usual. – Daily Maverick
• Link:https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-03-28...
• Ramaphosa could be given some time before facing a vote of no-confidence in Parliament as the ATM party calls for a delay. This comes after the party’s request for a vote by secret ballot was rejected by the House Speaker yesterday. The vote was scheduled for Wednesday alongside vote against the Cabinet – BusinessDay
• Bloemfontein high court dismisses application from suspended ANC Secretary General Ace Magashule to have corruption charges stemming from the Free State Asbestos case dropped – dramatically reducing his chances of Running in the December ANC Elective conference. To compete he must have all charges dropped by December – IOL News