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RESEND: The Finanzagentur....>

GERMAN AUCTION PREVIEW
GERMAN AUCTION PREVIEW: RESEND: The Finanzagentur will tap the market for E1bln
on Wednesday. On offer is the 2.50% Jul-44 Bund.
- BACKGROUND: The 2.50% Jul-44 Bund was last tapped on October 17 with E1.15bln
allotted at an average yield of 1.04%, Buba cover of 1.40x and a real
bid-to-cover ratio of 1.06x. Germany is on track for issuance this year with a
third of the 2019 target currently met.
- RV/HISTORY: Having progressively flattened since October on the back of
elevated global economic uncertainty and an industrial slowdown at home, the
bund curve has started to steepen over the last two weeks. At this point it is
possible that much of the bad news has already been priced in, with several
recent developments - a 6-month Brexit extension, a surge in Chinese credit
growth and dovish shift at the Fed and ECB - suggesting that economic activity
could pickup in the near term and drive longer-end yields higher. The 2.50%
Jul-44 Bund trades at a yield of 0.666%, up from a recent low of 0.468% on March
27 and 54.1bp inside the comparable EUR swap.
- TIMING: Results are due after the auction closes at 1030GMT.

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