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US TSYS: Reviewing rate hike probability ahead Fed Chair Powell's semi-annual
testimony to Congress at 1000ET, testimony to House Financial Services Committee
same time Wednesday:
* July 31/Aug 1 FOMC: 6.2%
* Sep 25/26 FOMC*: 92.3%
* Nov 7/8 FOMC: 5%
* Dec 18/19 FOMC*: 59.8%
(levels via MNI PINCH model; *meets w/Summary of Economic Projections and press
conf by the Chair). Note, media blackout starts Saturday ahead Aug 1 FOMC, StL
Fed Pres Bullard speaks on MonPol Friday 0820ET.