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Richmond Fed Mfg Sees Second Positive Month Since Spring 2022

US DATA
  • The Richmond Fed manufacturing index was as expected in October at +3 for only a modest drop from +5 in Sept.
  • From the press release: “Although the level of the composite index was not very high, it was positive for only the second month since the spring of 2022.” In itself it's an interesting print considering Richmond Fed's Barkin has recently said business contacts say activity is slowing faster than data portray.
  • Its three component indexes were mixed: shipments increased from 7 to 9 (+2pts), new orders fell from 3 to -4 (-7pts) and employment was steady at 7 (unch).
  • Further details show mixed inflationary pressures: trends in both prices paid and prices received have continued to see solid moderation and are close to pre-pandemic levels (something seen in the US PMI released shortly beforehand) but the wage measure has firmed off post-pandemic lows from earlier in the year – see chart.

Source: Richmond Fed

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