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Ringgit Rangebound Despite Softer Palm Oil, Covid Chatter Under Scrutiny

MYR

Spot USD/MYR trades flat at MYR4.1315 as we type, despite yesterday's drop in palm oil prices & worrying signals re: local Covid-19 situation. A slide through Apr 7 low of MYR4.1220 would open up Mar 18 low of MYR4.1020, while topside technical focus falls on Apr 9 high of MYR4.1454, followed by Mar 31 high of

  • Bernama cited Human Resources Min Saravanan as noting that the gov't will consider rehiring foreign workers in the plantation, agriculture, m'fing & construction sectors, as employers are struggling to fill vacated jobs in these sectors. The article said that almost 400,000 of jobs in the aforementioned sectors remain unfilled.
  • Malaysian Defence Min Ismail Sabri Yaakob said that the Health Ministry's modelling suggests that a fourth wave of Covid-19 infections may hit the country. The gov't decided to extend existing CMCO & RMCO restrictions through Apr 28 (except for Sarawak, where restrictions were extended through Apr 26).

Fig. 1: Malaysia Daily New Covid-19 Cases vs. Malaysia Oxford Stringency Index

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg


  • Health Min Baba said that the gov't will provide free Covid-19 vaccines to private hospitals to boost the speed of the national inoculation campaign.
  • Palm oil futures tumbled in Malaysia as the country's inventories swelled to 1.45mn tons (BBG est. was 1.33mn tons) amid a faster than forecast jump in output.

Fig. 2: Malaysia Palm Oil Stockpiles vs. Production vs. Exports (tons)

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg


  • Malaysiakini reported that PM Muhyiddin lamented the severe depletion of state coffers during the ongoing pandemic and warned that " we don't have much money left."
  • Worth noting that PM Muhyiddin will visit Singapore on May 4 to discuss the reopening of the border.
  • The Malaysian docket is empty during the remainder of this week.

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