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Free AccessRisk-Off Storm Intensifies, Forces AUD/USD To Give Away Post-CPI Gains
The Asia-Pac session witnessed a renewed flight into safe haven currencies, as regional equity benchmarks retreated alongside U.S. e-mini futures on the back of imminent policy decision from the Fed & deepening geopolitical angst.
- The yen comfortably outperformed its G10 peers, with Tokyo traders digesting Monday headlines surrounding the Russo-Ukrainian stand-off. Demand for safer assets provided a tailwind for the greenback, but the DXY failed to re-test yesterday's peak.
- Sydney morning saw AUD catch a bid after Australian inflation data topped expectations, with the RBA's preferred measure of core inflation printing above the mid-point of the target range for the first time since 2014. The release boosted hawkish RBA bets, with market pricing pointing to potential for a rate hike as soon as in May.
- There was talk of cross flows applying pressure to the kiwi after Australian data hit the wires, albeit AUD/NZD struggled to take out the NZ$1.0700 figure. New Zealand's own Q4 CPI data on Thursday will provide an input into the comparative assessment of policy outlooks of Antipodean central banks.
- Post-CPI bid in AUD evaporated later in the Asia-Pac session, as risk-off flows intensified. AUD/USD erased its initial gains, but the Aussie remained the best performing high-beta currency. NOK was the main laggard, as the Ukraine tension outweighed an uptick in crude oil prices.
- German Ifo Survey & U.S. Conf. Board Consumer Confidence take focus on the data front today. Central bank speaker slate features ECB's Holzmann & Riksbank's Skingsley.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.