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Risk On Helps Push Treasuries Lower

US TSYS
  • Cash Tsys have moved lower this morning with broad risk-on moves whilst seeing a muted version of the move in European sovereigns as the ECB nearing anti-fragmentation tools is perceived to allow larger rate hikes. There has however been surprisingly little impact on the longer end of the curve, despite both German and French consumer confidence sliding further.
  • 2YY +1.8bps at 3.124%, 5YY +3.8bps at 3.293%, 10YY +3.8bps at 3.238% and 30YY +3.4bps at 3.346%.
  • TYU2 trades 10 ticks lower at 116-16 as it shifts towards the lower end of last week’s wide range on broadly average volumes. The underlying trend remains bullish, but the recent retracement has opened support at 115-20 (Jun 17 low).
  • Data: Multiple second tier releases including wholesale inventories, Conference Board consumer confidence, house prices, advanced trade and the Richmond Fed manufacturing index.
  • Fedspeak: Daly (’24 voter) gives LinkedIn interview at 1230ET.
  • Bond issuance: US Tsy $40B 7Y Note auction (91282VEV9) at 1300ET

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